China’s AI Race Victory: What If?


  • AI Competition Urgency: U.S. leaders highlight the necessity of maintaining a competitive edge in AI against China, warning of the consequences of failing to innovate quickly and effectively.

  • Two-Pronged Strategy: The U.S. employs a strategy of restricting Chinese tech exports while fostering domestic AI innovation through light regulation and significant investment in infrastructure.

  • Narrowing Gap: China is rapidly closing the performance gap in AI with significant government investments and strategic initiatives, challenging the former U.S. dominance in the field.

  • Planning for Coexistence: The U.S. must prepare for scenarios where competing AI ecosystems exist while exploring ways to demonstrate the advantages of U.S. models and easing migration costs for users.

  • Addressing Risks: Policymakers should implement safeguards and develop adjudication systems to mitigate risks associated with using foreign AI models while considering data-sharing protocols that balance security with potential benefits.

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